Sean Rankin Mortgage Agent level 2

2.2% Inflation. Big Deal? Yes. Here’s Why.

Good news Canada finally caught a break.

Inflation slowed to 2.2 percent in October, mostly because gas prices fell hard. Before your eyes glaze over, here’s why this actually matters for your wallet, your rent, and your next mortgage rate.

Let’s break it down like a normal human would.


1. Gas Prices Fell… A Lot.

Gasoline prices were 9.4 percent lower than last year.
That’s more than double the drop we saw in September.

And since gas touches almost everything in the economy, lower prices helped drag overall inflation down.


2. Food is Still Pricey, but Increasing Slower

Food is still going up, but not as fast.
October saw 3.4 percent growth compared to 4.0 percent in September.

Translation: your grocery bill still hurts, just slightly less.


3. Mortgage Costs Finally Stopped Exploding

Here’s the part homeowners care about.

The cost of mortgage interest rose 2.9 percent, the slowest pace in more than three years.

It doesn’t mean rates are falling yet — but the pressure is easing for the first time in a long time. This is a big deal for anyone renewing soon.


4. Rent is Still Going the Wrong Way

Rent inflation jumped over 5 percent, rising for the second month in a row.

So renters are still getting hammered, and many are starting to look at buying as the better long-term move (even with higher rates).


5. The Bank of Canada’s “Core” Numbers Also Improved

The Bank cares a lot about two metrics:

  • CPI-median: now 2.9 percent

  • CPI-trim: now 3.0 percent

Both are moving down — which is exactly what the Bank wants to see.

When core inflation cools, rate hikes become less likely.


So, Will Rates Drop?

It’s too early to pop champagne, but here’s the honest answer:

  • Rate hikes are pretty much off the table right now.

  • Rate cuts become more realistic if this trend continues into early 2026.

  • The pressure in the mortgage system is easing for the first time in years.

This is the first “good news” inflation report we’ve had in a while.


Why You Should Care

If you’re renewing soon

This report is a step in the right direction rates may not drop immediately, but this cool-down helps shape better renewal options ahead.

If you’re buying

Lower inflation now means potential rate relief later.
Getting a pre-approval locks you in while the market shifts.

If you’re renting

Rent is still climbing fast.
This inflation shift could push more renters to explore buying — and that increases competition once rates ease.


At TopRankinMortgages, we help you navigate this steady (and familiar) market with clarity and confidence. No stress, no pressure—just smart mortgage guidance when you need it.

Have questions about how this affects your mortgage? Let’s chat!